Thursday, January 29, 2009

Future HoFers

Just want to give my opinion on some current and recently retired players that seem either to be "shoe-ins" or "maybe's".

Griffey: Yes
Pujols: Yes
Chipper: Yes
Jason Giambi: No, And not because of steroid use 
Pedro:Yes
Mussina:No
Damon:No
Renteria:No
Schilling:Yes
Randy Johnson:Yes
Manny: Yes
David Ortiz: No
Ichiro:Yes
Beltran:Yes
Halladay: No
Biggio:Yes
Roberto Alomar:Yes
Maddux:Yes
Bernie Williams:Yes
Glaus:No
Nomar:No


Wednesday, January 21, 2009

St. Louis Cardinals

Some Cardinals Fans are distraught do to the managements lack in big moves in this bad economic time,  but I'm going to tell you why they are ok with their team as it stands now. 
They have one of the best outfields with Ludwick, Ankiel, and Schumaker, the perrenial MVP candidate in Pujols, a slugger in Glaus at 3rd, recently acquired Khalil Greene will be much better out of Petco, and they have a great catcher in Molina. Now, they're only real problem is the rotation. Carpenter and Mulder are both ?'s so I agree with the fans in saying they could add another starter or two, but really, whos available.. Sheets...Garland..Both injury prone guys so, with the market as it is, there is really no need for the Card's to make any big moves.

Sunday, January 18, 2009

Ryan Howard trade possibility

So I have heard on numerous accounts that Ryan Howard may be traded. despite how credible they may or may not be, I'm taking a look at any possibilities.

So for tonight I'm going to talk about the one team I think makes the most sense. They have great pitching annually  and are on the verge of contending and Ryan howard and another impact player would give them that push into contention (along with the other three contenders in the division...). Yeah, I'm talking about Toronto.

The possibility of this actually happening is slim due to J.P. Ricchardi's Passive tendencies, but its fun to discuss.

Oh yeah and as a Sox fan, this isn't a trade i'd really hope for...

Anyways..

How does 

Vernon Well+ Lyle Overbay+ Jesse Litchse or Shawn Marcum and $ ---> Ryan Howard, and an Outfielder other than Victorino

Then the Jays could either use that outfielder (if good enough) or Andruw Jones (if good enough) to replace Vernon Wells


Wadda Ya think?



Saturday, January 17, 2009

Manny Ramirez-Interesting thought

I heard an interesting team connected to Manny Ramirez on MLBTraderumors.com. The Detroit TIgers. 
Would his addition give them enough power and hitting to be good or would it be a waste due to their insufficient pitching?

Andruw Jones

Andruw was one of my favorite players growing up and I want to discuss some of his options. The most likely scenario (and definitely the best for him) would be for him to accept a $600k or so minor league contract from the Braves. The contract could have incentives and whatnot for games played so that he would feel like he is being treated well. This would  also benefit the Braves because they wouldn't be just handing him the money. 

Other teams that could be interested if the price is right: Toronto, Seattle, New York Yankees, Arizona, Both Chicago Teams, and Cincinnati. 

In my opinion all of those teams would be wise to look at him (as would my Red Sox) as it is a stern possibility that he returns to his former self. I don't see him hitting much higher than .250 but if he played every day I would bet my hat he could mash up to 30 HR's.

Oh yeah, almost forgot. Say what you want, but if i knew a lot of balls were going to be hit to the outfield on a given day, I don't care if he goes 1-5 with 3 k's, I want Andruw Jones in my outfield.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

How the San Francisco Giants can win their first division title in 6 years

Ok for starters, lets get a clean template out. Now, the San Diego Padres are horrendous, and will not contend. Period. The Rockies are a joke. They were terrible last year and the only change they have really made was trading their best reliever for a number 5 (at best) starter in Marquis. Ok so, they're out of the picture. Now that leaves us with the Giants, Dodgers, and Arizona. Arizona only came close because they acquired Adum Dunn at the trade deadline, so i am going to predict that they won't be too much competition unless Brandom Webb (their only decent starter with the loss of Johnson TO the Giants) is unbeleivable, fantastic, amazing, perfect, lights-out, you name it.  Now, the Dodgers won the division, but have lost Lowe. Now a huge factor is who gets Manny Ramirez. We have to assume that Manny goes to the Giants or the Dodgers.  If the Giants get him, it could be a tricky situation. 1. The contract. If Manny gets his four years or whatever he'll probably start to act like a turd agian. 2. You already have tons of righties and only 2 semi true lefties (one of which would probably have to bounce if Manny is added). How do we fix this disaster? Hmm OH! I got it, let the cry baby Dodgers have the biggest cry baby player ever in Manny, and Sign Adam Dunn. Problem solved. Now, under these circumstances the Giants have the Best Rotation in the NL WEST (that includes the best pitcher in the NL if not MLB=Lincecum) (IF, healthy..IF healthy..yes I said IF Noah Lowry, Matt Cain, Randy Johnson are healthy..IF...), a solid lineup IF, everyone produces. Now, Adam Dunn could play 1B for you (instead of Ishikawa or whoever else was gunna get stuffed into that role) and you would have a true lefty, a true cleanup hitter, and a lot of RBI's if Renteria turns into his old "terrific in the NL-Self" and Emmanuel Burriss plays well (he hit  .298 in 95 or so games last year so we can assume he wont be hitting lower than .280 but hopefully better for the Giants sake) and then you have some great options for a 3 hitter in Fred lewis (prob not 2 lefties in a row) So how about Randy Winn Or Molina? Either is great, ok.

So our starting rotation:
1.Lincecum
2.Matt Cain
3.Randy Johnson
4.Noah Lowry
5.Barry Zito

and Sanchez Probably going to hold down the BP (Closer?) (in my world anyways..)

for the Bullpen..eh i've seen better but i've seen much much worse and they added Affeldt, so they should be a little more solid this year. (Again, according to my plan)

Lineup:
1.Renteria-R(SS)
2.Burriss-S(2B)
3.Winn-S(RF)
4.Dunn-L(1B)
5.Molina-R(C)
6.Lewis-L(LF)
7.Rowand-R(CF)
8.Sandoval-S?(3B)
9.Pitcher

Now just take a look up and down that lineup a few times.. mmhmm, a couple more...mmmm thats it, good...
Now Sandoval is kind of a question mark because he played 40-something games and hit .348.So, over a full season that includes slumps and hot streaks we can assume he ends up around .300 with some decent power numbers. So, when you look at a lineup that just got reworked like this, and Aaron Rowan is your worst starting hitter (coming off of a bad year), things are looking really, really good.

Anyways, this team would also include Dave Roberts as a 4th outfielder, A solid hitting 3rd baseman/backup catcher in Sandoval and a rising star (catcher) in Buster Posey who could join the team mid year.

What team in the NL west with or without Manny Ramirez is going to come out on top of THIS Giants team? Answer=None. (note all I did was have them sign Adam Dunn and assume everyone was going to play well and be healthy)

Monday, January 12, 2009

Jim Rice-HoF

Does he deserve to be there?
I think so.
Career .298 hitter with a .352 OBP and 382 HR's
Rice spent all 16 years with the same team, so in my opinion, due to his numbers, dedication and the fact that he was arguably one of the (if not the most) feared sluggers of his time, he deserves this spot in the HoF. 
What do you think?

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Advantage in the AL East?

Although i'm not yet going to predict the placing in the AL east, I wanted to give my opinion on who has the advantage going into the season. The Yankees are almost always a perennial contender for the division, and with their recent additions, I think they are definatally going to contend in 09'. They added the best free agent pitcher in Sabathia, and pretty much the best free agent hitter (considered the best due to his age and consistency) in Tiexiera (in my opinion, Dunn is just as good if not better (offensively) due to his home runs and OBP. And then theres Manny, but yeah, you know, he'd be worth more if he didn't have to be Manny being Manny).  Along with those two players, they added Burnett, who can be nasty if he's healthy, but hes also shown lack of heart and commitment, but who knows, that could change now that he is with a better team.
Next there's the Red Sox, who have been perennial contenders for the better half of this last decade. They also seem like they are going to be able to contend for years to come with one of the best farm systems out there.  They have a solid rotation and bullpen (as well as a pitching surplus this year), a great veteran presence, the reining AL MVP, and some great sluggers, but it always seems to be their emerging talent that wins them ball games. *See Papelbon in 06', Ellsbury in 07' and Lowerie in 08'.  So I guess according to my theory, the Sox's fate  in 09' will depend on wether their emerging talent has an impact.
Finally, (yes finally) theres the Rays, whom in my opinion have the Advantage heading into the 2009 season. They have a great rotation, let me rephrase that. A great, very young rotation that is now a year older, wiser, and assumingly better due to their run last year in the playoffs. They also have in my opinion the best lineup in baseball at this time. B.J. Upton was INSANE in the playoffs (and defensively), Evan Longoria was the Rookie of the year, and was a very dangerous player throughout his first experience in the playoffs. Expect the two of them to be better this year, Carlos Penawill be his 30-40 HR hitting self, and they have also added Pat Burrell (who has my respect and admiration) who is capable of hitting 30+ HRs. Navarro never let his AVG go below .300 which fantastic for a catcher. THe only weak spot I see with the rays is the bullpen. They have no definite closer (please do not say Dan Wheeler), and they were almost too perfect last year. Look for guys like Balfour and Howell to let their ERA's go up. 

Let me know what you think, again, this is all just me expressing my opinion and I would like to hear what you have to say on this topic. Serious, unbiased discussion only please.

Saturday, January 10, 2009

Red Sox Pitching- New Signings

Only fitting my first entry be about my favorite team (no biased commentary)

Contrary to some belief, the Sox have not taken any risks whatsoever. 5-10 mil (Smoltz) is like pocket change for a beggar when it comes to teams like the Sox and Yanks. The sox have only opened up more options with the recent signings of Penny, Smoltz, and Saito.  Granted they are all "at risk" of getting injured or having a bad season (aren't all pitchers?), all of them have a good chance of turning out to be a positive and worthwhile signing. If Penny (who is a little younger), returns to his former self and works out, the sox will definitely have room to trade one or maybe even two young pitchers for a Catcher or maybe something else if the need arises. Speaking of which, might as well kill two birds with one stone and cover the brutal Red Sox Catching topic. Seems like Bucholz is staying put no matter what. The Sox seem to have made that pretty clear, which is good because a semi-desperate team like Texas will probably lower demands/negotiate with a team like the Sox that have a healthy farm system. Despite  the more noted interests in Saltalamacchia (Texas) and Miguel Montero (D'Backs), I beleive the Sox should go after Taylor Teagarden (also Texas). He would cost a little bit more but is much better defensively and much more well rounded offensively. Also, Montero Flopped in his first call up, often a sign of future failure due to insecurities and lack of confidence. 

I would say that the sox are about done with adding pitchers (and players) for the most part, but expect them to at least inquire on Dunn, maybe even if at the last minute to spice things up. Despite him being a lefty, id say Dunn could do all the same things offensively Texiera could do (if not more due to his HR's)

-Phil Cervelli