Through http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/ I have seen many examples of questionable trade offers, and one that made me think was how the trade of Brad Hawpe (Rockies) for Melky Cabrera (Yankees) would be a horrible deal for the Yankees.
Melky has a career UZR of –13.5 in CF, which is his position. A career UZR (Ultimate Zone Rating) throughout the outfield of –8.7, meaning he gives up between 8.7 and 13.5 runs more than an average outfielder. That’s straight up awful. His OPS (On base + Slugging %) has maxed out at .752 in the majors with a high of 8 home runs in a season. Melky is an offensive liability, averaging through his career a .269 average. Melky with that is worth 3.3 WAR (wins over replacement).
Hawpe may statistically be one of the worst outfielders in history according to UZR. He’s a right fielder, and his UZR there is –91. When it’s rated in the UZR/150 (Ultimate Zone Rate over 150 games), his UZR is only –21.6, which is still awful. This year he matched that average with a –21.3 UZR. However, he does something that Melky doesn’t. Hawpe can hit for power. He averages 18.5 home runs a season, has an OPS average over his career of .845, and has hit for a .283 average through his career. Even with his horrible defense, he’s averaged being worth 3.7 WAR.
Melky is younger, and plays better defense (granted, I could go out and probably play better defense) but is quintessentially a fourth outfielder, while Hawpe should be a DH, he’s worth more with his bat, if an AL team tried getting him, and put him at DH, he would be worth an amazing 21.5 WAR.
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment